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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Cyclical Bear Market” 29th June 2016 V2

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What a week it has been. We have seen volatility to the upside and then crashing downward across risk on. The Sp500 broke her 2025 level and her 200 dma. She is bouncing here to currently her 50% retracement level but has scored significant technical damage to lead indexes like the US banks, Transports. Across...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Break Setup in SPX, Gold, USD, and Bonds” – 22nd June16

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Its make or break time indeed. Im in a rush unfortunately so this post will be updated later today and tomorrow. Technically some levels to the upside which need to be broken to confirm this, Dax 10300, EXX1 euro banks needs to get above 11, Oil did correct but is now back over 50 and...

Weekly Technical Analysis – Divergent Trends ROW vs US – 13th June16

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The reports this week i’m releasing today and later in the week a V2 as the Swiss team remain on holiday for one more week. Their first report back is the 21st of June ie next Tuesday. I wonder what they would make of world markets here.We can see that all the major technical contributors...

Weekly Technical Analysis – Asset Markets Looking For A Trend – 1st June16

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Another week rolls by and the recent bull rally takes a breath. This next wave is crucial and should determine whether we are still in a wave 4 or have already started a wave 5 of this asset bull market. This week the Swiss team are on holiday and taking a well deserved break but...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Complex Wave 4 Cyclical Bear or Wave 5” 25th May 2016 V2

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We have a high momentum daily bar here across some key sectors and indexes. In many cases the end April highs are close at hand. We need to keep a careful watch on these levels here as well as the usual breadth indicators to see which of the two scenarios above we have here. I...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Sp500 Corrective Top” 18th May 2016

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The market has continued to chop up and the short term correlations are diverging from their medium and longer term correlations indication market indecision here (and for bears the end of the corrective bounce). Across asset classes we looking for direction here and volatility looks set to rise significantly from here in the coming weeks....

Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Minor Low Confirmed” – 11th May16

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Price moves are getting choppy here. We getting caught up between levels and instruments are losing their medium term correlations on the short term time frames. This is all indicative of a market losing direction. Its noteworthy that GS got stopped out of two of their recommended trades last week and have reentered again this...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 2033/2022 As Initial Target” 4th May16

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Markets have moved lower and volatility has stepped up across fx and rest of world equities but alas not the US indexes as yet. US longs are not panicking as yet and so another micro bounce attempt at the recent resistance does appear likely again for US indexes. Currencies wise the US$ spiking down on...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Still A Distributive Top Building Process” 27th April16

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We have a complex multi asset technical stand off here with price not confirming either bear or bull camp either way here. And on initial price confirmation we have to also be prepared for a confirmation and then failure scenario as this is the classic formation for a momentum move. We have the Fed and...

Technical Analysis Cycles Update – Is It 1998 All Over Again? 24th April16

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Lets start with some words of wisdom from a man whose trading record makes him one of the modern trading masters. “I’m only rich because I know when I’m wrong. I basically have survived by recognizing my mistakes.” G.Soros. With these words in mind lets look at the price history here as most certainly market...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Highs in Risk This Week Setting up Significant Correction” 19th April16 V3

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Back in Dec15 when the bear move started, it was pretty clear that the move was early and needed to be tested before this multi year bull market was truly toast. On the most recent wave of the risk rebound we needed to get to a rally point where the early bears would be throwing...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “2080 to 2100 Big Resistance Zone” 13th April16 V2

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From failed moves come fast moves and indeed we can see we have a failed bear attempt here. Looking across asset markets the bears had a momentum. There was a window in which instruments converged to provide an opportunity for a significant wave lower. Oil sunk to 35, eurostoxx50 broke down, the Eurusd broke out,...
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