Capital: A principal, investment, money, assets, labour, stock, property, a store of value larger or more prominent; it may also suggest preeminence or excellence; capital letter, idea, virtue. Synthesis: A complex whole made up of a number of parts united; the act of combining separate ideas, beliefs, styles; a mixture or combination of ideas, beliefs, styles.

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Complex Wave 4 Cyclical Bear or Wave 5” 25th May 2016 V2

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We have a high momentum daily bar here across some key sectors and indexes. In many cases the end April highs are close at hand. We need to keep a careful watch on these levels here as well as the usual breadth indicators to see which of the two scenarios above we have here. I...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Sp500 Corrective Top” 18th May 2016

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The market has continued to chop up and the short term correlations are diverging from their medium and longer term correlations indication market indecision here (and for bears the end of the corrective bounce). Across asset classes we looking for direction here and volatility looks set to rise significantly from here in the coming weeks....

Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Minor Low Confirmed” – 11th May16

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Price moves are getting choppy here. We getting caught up between levels and instruments are losing their medium term correlations on the short term time frames. This is all indicative of a market losing direction. Its noteworthy that GS got stopped out of two of their recommended trades last week and have reentered again this...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 2033/2022 As Initial Target” 4th May16

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Markets have moved lower and volatility has stepped up across fx and rest of world equities but alas not the US indexes as yet. US longs are not panicking as yet and so another micro bounce attempt at the recent resistance does appear likely again for US indexes. Currencies wise the US$ spiking down on...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Still A Distributive Top Building Process” 27th April16

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We have a complex multi asset technical stand off here with price not confirming either bear or bull camp either way here. And on initial price confirmation we have to also be prepared for a confirmation and then failure scenario as this is the classic formation for a momentum move. We have the Fed and...

Technical Analysis Cycles Update – Is It 1998 All Over Again? 24th April16

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Lets start with some words of wisdom from a man whose trading record makes him one of the modern trading masters. “I’m only rich because I know when I’m wrong. I basically have survived by recognizing my mistakes.” G.Soros. With these words in mind lets look at the price history here as most certainly market...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Highs in Risk This Week Setting up Significant Correction” 19th April16 V3

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Back in Dec15 when the bear move started, it was pretty clear that the move was early and needed to be tested before this multi year bull market was truly toast. On the most recent wave of the risk rebound we needed to get to a rally point where the early bears would be throwing...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “2080 to 2100 Big Resistance Zone” 13th April16 V2

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From failed moves come fast moves and indeed we can see we have a failed bear attempt here. Looking across asset markets the bears had a momentum. There was a window in which instruments converged to provide an opportunity for a significant wave lower. Oil sunk to 35, eurostoxx50 broke down, the Eurusd broke out,...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Markets Vulnerable” 5th April16

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Another week rolls by. Asset classes, sp500 and nas100 aside, are confirming the bearish macro landscape for risk assets and continuation of the cyclical bear. Without a new price breakout by key US sectors and indexes the issue remains a timing one for when the bear across all risk assets will resume.  Indeed if the...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Tactically Toppish” 29th March16

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Another week quickly comes around and the major macro event, following on from the ultra easy ECB, was the soothing dovish Fed. Price has reacted positively for the bulls with the sp500 making margin new highs. World indexes not confirming the move although currency adjusted it looks better as the US$ has weakened a little....

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Take Profits Across Equities” 23rd March16

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Its too early to call the top but we are very very close to confirmation across instruments. http://www.capitalsynthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/es.jpg We have the sp500 losing upward momentum, weak breadth, contrarian put call, dropping volatility vixx, negative divergence on price, we have a renewed us$ bounce and a big bounce at over sold levels vs many commodity currencies...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Risk Corrective Top In Sight” 16th March16

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Risk assets continue to build to an important and profitable corrective top from their over sold bounce earlier in Q1. I’m taking gradually taking profits on risk, though not precious metals, at the higher levels of the top of this very recent distribution. Unfortunately i cant bring many meaningful technical comments of my own as...
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