Capital: A principal, investment, money, assets, labour, stock, property, a store of value larger or more prominent; it may also suggest preeminence or excellence; capital letter, idea, virtue. Synthesis: A complex whole made up of a number of parts united; the act of combining separate ideas, beliefs, styles; a mixture or combination of ideas, beliefs, styles.

Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 2033/2022 As Initial Target” 4th May16

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Markets have moved lower and volatility has stepped up across fx and rest of world equities but alas not the US indexes as yet. US longs are not panicking as yet and so another micro bounce attempt at the recent resistance does appear likely again for US indexes. Currencies wise the US$ spiking down on...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Still A Distributive Top Building Process” 27th April16

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We have a complex multi asset technical stand off here with price not confirming either bear or bull camp either way here. And on initial price confirmation we have to also be prepared for a confirmation and then failure scenario as this is the classic formation for a momentum move. We have the Fed and...

Technical Analysis Cycles Update – Is It 1998 All Over Again? 24th April16

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Lets start with some words of wisdom from a man whose trading record makes him one of the modern trading masters. “I’m only rich because I know when I’m wrong. I basically have survived by recognizing my mistakes.” G.Soros. With these words in mind lets look at the price history here as most certainly market...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Highs in Risk This Week Setting up Significant Correction” 19th April16 V3

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Back in Dec15 when the bear move started, it was pretty clear that the move was early and needed to be tested before this multi year bull market was truly toast. On the most recent wave of the risk rebound we needed to get to a rally point where the early bears would be throwing...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “2080 to 2100 Big Resistance Zone” 13th April16 V2

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From failed moves come fast moves and indeed we can see we have a failed bear attempt here. Looking across asset markets the bears had a momentum. There was a window in which instruments converged to provide an opportunity for a significant wave lower. Oil sunk to 35, eurostoxx50 broke down, the Eurusd broke out,...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Markets Vulnerable” 5th April16

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Another week rolls by. Asset classes, sp500 and nas100 aside, are confirming the bearish macro landscape for risk assets and continuation of the cyclical bear. Without a new price breakout by key US sectors and indexes the issue remains a timing one for when the bear across all risk assets will resume.  Indeed if the...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Tactically Toppish” 29th March16

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Another week quickly comes around and the major macro event, following on from the ultra easy ECB, was the soothing dovish Fed. Price has reacted positively for the bulls with the sp500 making margin new highs. World indexes not confirming the move although currency adjusted it looks better as the US$ has weakened a little....

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Take Profits Across Equities” 23rd March16

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Its too early to call the top but we are very very close to confirmation across instruments. http://www.capitalsynthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/es.jpg We have the sp500 losing upward momentum, weak breadth, contrarian put call, dropping volatility vixx, negative divergence on price, we have a renewed us$ bounce and a big bounce at over sold levels vs many commodity currencies...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Risk Corrective Top In Sight” 16th March16

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Risk assets continue to build to an important and profitable corrective top from their over sold bounce earlier in Q1. I’m taking gradually taking profits on risk, though not precious metals, at the higher levels of the top of this very recent distribution. Unfortunately i cant bring many meaningful technical comments of my own as...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Bounce in Risk Close to Completion” 8th March16

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Price action has been steady with no fireworks, only oil aside. Its an interesting report again this week from the guys. The correction from over sold levels across risk has occurred more powerfully and rapidly than the Swiss team expected. They have therefore shifted their timing model forward reading the recent moves as an impulsive...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Near Term Overbought But ABC Rally Sustains” – 2nd March16 v2

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So far so good on the ABC rally. A is extending and B is delayed, for now. Breadth is weakening so its a matter of time before we take a breather here. Comments on micro managing this rally from last week sustain. Gold has not shown much of retrace in spite of the US dollar...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “A of ABC Bear Mkt Rally Near Term Complete” 24th Feb16

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The market risk on rally continues though as a part of the rally the team forecasting a near term top before continuation, classic ABC. Oil appears to have bottomed as have many commodities and commodity fx. Gold appears likely near term capped for now at her recent resistance 1250 to 1270. Currencies wise, the gbp...
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