Capital: A principal, investment, money, assets, labour, stock, property, a store of value larger or more prominent; it may also suggest preeminence or excellence; capital letter, idea, virtue. Synthesis: A complex whole made up of a number of parts united; the act of combining separate ideas, beliefs, styles; a mixture or combination of ideas, beliefs, styles.
Monthly archive April, 2016

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Still A Distributive Top Building Process” 27th April16

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We have a complex multi asset technical stand off here with price not confirming either bear or bull camp either way here. And on initial price confirmation we have to also be prepared for a confirmation and then failure scenario as this is the classic formation for a momentum move. We have the Fed and...

Technical Analysis Cycles Update – Is It 1998 All Over Again? 24th April16

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Lets start with some words of wisdom from a man whose trading record makes him one of the modern trading masters. “I’m only rich because I know when I’m wrong. I basically have survived by recognizing my mistakes.” G.Soros. With these words in mind lets look at the price history here as most certainly market...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Highs in Risk This Week Setting up Significant Correction” 19th April16 V3

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Back in Dec15 when the bear move started, it was pretty clear that the move was early and needed to be tested before this multi year bull market was truly toast. On the most recent wave of the risk rebound we needed to get to a rally point where the early bears would be throwing...

A Brave New World in Synthesis..

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Anyone that does any macro thinking at present surely arrives at some very strange states of new realities. One small example. Central banks, given unlimited powers, will be the ultimate buyer of all assets. Given Nirp (negative interest rate policy) and a constant high bid on the order books by the buyer of last resort...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “2080 to 2100 Big Resistance Zone” 13th April16 V2

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From failed moves come fast moves and indeed we can see we have a failed bear attempt here. Looking across asset markets the bears had a momentum. There was a window in which instruments converged to provide an opportunity for a significant wave lower. Oil sunk to 35, eurostoxx50 broke down, the Eurusd broke out,...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Markets Vulnerable” 5th April16

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Another week rolls by. Asset classes, sp500 and nas100 aside, are confirming the bearish macro landscape for risk assets and continuation of the cyclical bear. Without a new price breakout by key US sectors and indexes the issue remains a timing one for when the bear across all risk assets will resume.  Indeed if the...
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