Capital: A principal, investment, money, assets, labour, stock, property, a store of value larger or more prominent; it may also suggest preeminence or excellence; capital letter, idea, virtue. Synthesis: A complex whole made up of a number of parts united; the act of combining separate ideas, beliefs, styles; a mixture or combination of ideas, beliefs, styles.
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Weekly Technical Analysis – “Tactically, Don’t Chase the SP500” 5th Nov17

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With the Sp500 making new record highs and being joined by most of her sub indexes/sectors (Russ2000, transports, soxx, nas100, etc, Sector wise check US housing which is back on fire to the upside). We can see this increasingly selective wave five extension has not paused, September or no September and in spite of the...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Oct Wave C Oct Down leg” 21st Sept17

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Asset markets remain pretty much where they were with this low volatility creep up, fixed income aside. The European market rally appears to have stalled on the Euro, for now, holding her ground vs the US$ though the fez (dollar adjusted eurostoxx50) remains constructive with momentum scored on the new highs across timescales. Tactically we...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Copper Breakout Continues” 25th Aug17

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Summer time continues in the price action in major developed market equity markets. We have a fair amount of chop here alongside low volume as participants hold back from committing in either direction. As we know the run up to this period has been off the back of weak breadth and momentum and so the...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Minor Top This Week” 31st May17

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New highs for US equity market markets once again whilst the Europe takes a breather and the strong euro holding her indexes back for now. The Pound once again coming under pressure. If these near term supports fail the pound could produce a large move very both US$ and Euro, downwards.  Commodities remain weak in...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “US$ Dollar Top Confirmed” – 22nd March17

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Hi guys, all eyes at present are on the US dollar for signals of a top here as this such a meaningful asset for all risk markets and global liquidity. Needless to explain the long term inverse to prices of the commodities asset class is crucial. That said with the commodity prices providing a significant...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Corrective Pull Back” 2nd Feb17

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We have indeed had a false breakout in some risk sectors and indexes but the reversal was hard and fast a pretty good signal of the false break. The US$ is indeed becoming more selective with one of the leads for the selectivity being the usdsgd. (Commented on by Fitzpatrick last week). Alongside rising inflation...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Risk Base Forming, Buy Weakness” 9th Nov16

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Its been a very significant week for risk markets. We have seen the complete reversal of the cyclical weakness themes vs defensive strength.  Transports and Financials and other cyclical themes have moved from the negative beta to the positive beta. The evidence is compelling across asset classes. It is all due to fast rising inflationary...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Cash Testing 2120”

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After last week’s holiday from providing a release this week we have a bumper catch up release. We have major movements across risk asset markets. Equity indexes have a tactical correction in play with yesterday the Sp500 even breaking her 2120 level. But looking in more detail we can see the evidence of a sustained...

Weekly Technical Analysis – Divergent Trends ROW vs US – 13th June16

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The reports this week i’m releasing today and later in the week a V2 as the Swiss team remain on holiday for one more week. Their first report back is the 21st of June ie next Tuesday. I wonder what they would make of world markets here.We can see that all the major technical contributors...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Sp500 Corrective Top” 18th May 2016

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The market has continued to chop up and the short term correlations are diverging from their medium and longer term correlations indication market indecision here (and for bears the end of the corrective bounce). Across asset classes we looking for direction here and volatility looks set to rise significantly from here in the coming weeks....

Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Tactical Low Forming” 26th Jan16

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The probable scenario of a multi week rebound appears to be play here and the 2008 melt down scenario thankfully avoided. I’m traveling unfortunately so i leave the analysis to the reports. Ill add comment in a few days but in hindsight my own book’s timing is so far so good on both sides of...

Weekly Technical Analysis Alert – “Tactical Buy But Bear Mkt Confirmed” 19th Jan16

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The Swiss team have issued a Technical Alert as markets have moved so quickly in the last 2 weeks. With standing a bounce to 2100 Sp500, they have confirmed a bear market and therefore the probability moves to no new higher highs for the sp500 on this secular bull market. (Effectively this mirror’s JP’s call...
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