Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Comments – “5% to 8% correction into June/July but a change to our cyclical road map”
by on May 14, 2013 •We have for several weeks discussed, on the forum pages as well as editor comments, that the technical report produced by our Swiss colleagues had got their near term calls wrong. That, instead, the US equity markets displayed more technical strength than they had accounted for but this didn’t sit neatly with their cyclical model. ...
Macro Economic Update – “Another Spring Another Slow Down”
by on Apr 26, 2013 •I attach the WF economic update below. We have growth with the US GDP coming in at 2.5% today for Q1, below consensus but in a world awash with slow, or negative – Europe, growth a positive reading is something at least. German pmi came in weak again and the UK managed to score a...
Bullion Weekly Technical Comments – “Near term rebound in speculative positioning”
by on Apr 24, 2013 •No report this week from Commerz so i’ve posted up GS’s latest take on the bullion. In summary, they are long and medium term bearish on the asset class. They sight rising interest rates, low inflation and an improving US fiscal picture to cap any short term bounces in the bullion. Near term they are...
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Comments – “Short-Term Bounce Before More Weakness”
by on Apr 23, 2013 •Below the latest Swiss team’s comments on the major market indexes from across the globe. Short term issues remain as were. On the short term, we have a bounce which is an opportunity for adding to hedges. Euro indexes have having been more over sold have enjoyed a higher bounce than the US sectors, thus...
Commodities / Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Tax & Debt / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Comments & More.. “Equity Market Distribution into a Top” & “Bullion Secular Bull Intact”
by on Apr 16, 2013 •Ok, attached below the latest view from the Swiss tech team. Another great report and nothing in the last week has invalidated their view on the major asset markets which ties in to my own views as documented on the forum boards. US index Sp500 false breakout. Rus2000 failure and looking very weak. Sub sector...
Commodities / Companies / Economics / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Quick End Q1 Comments, Practice, Tech Charts..
by on Mar 29, 2013 •Happy Easter to all. A few world markets are open today but as there is a euro area holiday today its very quiet. I thought I’d use the time to post up a few end of quarter comments and charts as well a few specific trade monitoring screens that I use regularly, in the interests...
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Tax & Debt / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Comments – “US Indexes Q1 Top Forming. HGX, EMs, Nik225 Topped Out, Sell Bounces”
by on Mar 19, 2013 •Another solid report from the team in Switzerland covering the major sectors and indicators and price patterns once again. Amongst the items a wave five top for end q1 looks increasingly likely but its possible that a new higher high can be formed as the distribution is not providing a classic signal yet. This is...
Commodities / Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Property / Technical trading
Info Dump – Bullion Weekly Tech Report, WF Monthly Macro, Inverse Correlation JPY Nik225 at extremes.
by on Mar 15, 2013 •A quick info dump here for all. Here below the latest bullion tech. Having been asleep the bullion’s volatility is creeping up again as are her HUI miners. This makes me wake up again on the asset class. BullionWeeklyTechnicals12032013 Here the below the latest WF monthly macro economic run through. Global macro remains very weak....
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Interim Personal Trading Update – “Risk On – Steady As She Goes” But The Asset Rally is Narrowing”
by on Mar 8, 2013 •Its been a while since i completed a personal update. As we seem to have passed through the great distribution of the last 6 weeks, here below a quick run through of my own book, feelings, comments, analysis. There is an emphasis, as always, to the future battles. Things are good, life is good and...
1925 Parlimentary Gold Standard Debate – “Shackle Us to Reality” Winston Churchill
by on Jan 28, 2013 •“I will tell you what it will shackle us to. It will shackle us to reality. For good or for ill, it will shackle us to reality. That is the only basis upon which we shall be standing, and I believe it to be the only basis which offers any permanent security for our affairs....
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Bullion Technical Comments – “Short Term Neutral, Medium Remains Bullish” & Market Comments…
by on Jan 25, 2013 •Apologies for anyone who missed the report being published earlier this week. I did publish the report on the forum pages. And indeed I let a contract go on silver myself earlier in the week due to the struggle we are having on multiple correlated industrial instruments here. The supports should be noted in the...
Commodities / Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Property / Tax & Debt / Technical trading
2013 Technical Forecast, Cycles, Correlations, Inter Market Analysis & Comment..
by on Jan 8, 2013 •The Swiss team have done themselves proud once again. Words fail me. A superb analysis. Lets see if they can win the European technical team for 2013 as they did in 2012. To the report specifically. There is much to digest here. What I continue to admire about their approach is that it’s probability driven....