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Weekly Technical Comments – “Materials Breakout & Buy Bullion in next 5 to 10 Trading Sessions”
by on May 22, 2013 •The Swiss team have re-grouped and come back fighting. They didn’t get the pull back their models suggested. It has taken a month or so for them to really digest/accept this and re-set. We all learn by the rod here that you can’t get stubborn on these things. We are all paid on price and...
Weekly Technical Comments – “SPX Overshooting 1610, Cyclicals Outperforming”
by on May 7, 2013 •Please find the Swiss team’s latest weekly technical market comments below. It was becoming clear last week that the bear case had weakened. US markets have indeed made new record highs and market breadth has improved which the Swiss team are now acknowledging. Issues like the Russell2000 joining, as well as the semi conductors, extensions...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “Bounce Stronger Than Expected But Distributive”
by on Apr 30, 2013 •Ok, the Swiss team’s latest insightful technical comments below. As a summary they are sticking to their call that this remains distributive. A key plank of their argument is that until we get a rotation into cyclicals and away from defensives the theme remains distribution. This is a classic analysis and is historically correct. Cyclicals...
Macro Economic Update – “Another Spring Another Slow Down”
by on Apr 26, 2013 •I attach the WF economic update below. We have growth with the US GDP coming in at 2.5% today for Q1, below consensus but in a world awash with slow, or negative – Europe, growth a positive reading is something at least. German pmi came in weak again and the UK managed to score a...
Bullion Weekly Technical Comments – “Near term rebound in speculative positioning”
by on Apr 24, 2013 •No report this week from Commerz so i’ve posted up GS’s latest take on the bullion. In summary, they are long and medium term bearish on the asset class. They sight rising interest rates, low inflation and an improving US fiscal picture to cap any short term bounces in the bullion. Near term they are...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “Short-Term Bounce Before More Weakness”
by on Apr 23, 2013 •Below the latest Swiss team’s comments on the major market indexes from across the globe. Short term issues remain as were. On the short term, we have a bounce which is an opportunity for adding to hedges. Euro indexes have having been more over sold have enjoyed a higher bounce than the US sectors, thus...
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Weekly Technical Comments & More.. “Equity Market Distribution into a Top” & “Bullion Secular Bull Intact”
by on Apr 16, 2013 •Ok, attached below the latest view from the Swiss tech team. Another great report and nothing in the last week has invalidated their view on the major asset markets which ties in to my own views as documented on the forum boards. US index Sp500 false breakout. Rus2000 failure and looking very weak. Sub sector...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “Again, Don’t Chase This Rally”
by on Apr 3, 2013 •The Swiss team’s latest weekly tech view below. They are sticking to their call not to chase this rally but above S&P500 1535 it remains bullish but technically very weak. They pick up on many of the same issues we have been seeing and commenting on in the forum, for some time. Continued inter market...
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Quick End Q1 Comments, Practice, Tech Charts..
by on Mar 29, 2013 •Happy Easter to all. A few world markets are open today but as there is a euro area holiday today its very quiet. I thought I’d use the time to post up a few end of quarter comments and charts as well a few specific trade monitoring screens that I use regularly, in the interests...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “Don’t Chase SP500 – 1538 Pivotal”
by on Mar 26, 2013 •Apologies guys for the delay, i’ve been traveling today. Below we have another outstanding technical run through of the world’s major markets and instruments. I don’t want to repeat the Swiss team’s comments so therefore i won’t cover the same ground but will try and add to their analysis below. We are where we have...
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Weekly Technical Comments – “US Indexes Q1 Top Forming. HGX, EMs, Nik225 Topped Out, Sell Bounces”
by on Mar 19, 2013 •Another solid report from the team in Switzerland covering the major sectors and indicators and price patterns once again. Amongst the items a wave five top for end q1 looks increasingly likely but its possible that a new higher high can be formed as the distribution is not providing a classic signal yet. This is...
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Info Dump – Bullion Weekly Tech Report, WF Monthly Macro, Inverse Correlation JPY Nik225 at extremes.
by on Mar 15, 2013 •A quick info dump here for all. Here below the latest bullion tech. Having been asleep the bullion’s volatility is creeping up again as are her HUI miners. This makes me wake up again on the asset class. BullionWeeklyTechnicals12032013 Here the below the latest WF monthly macro economic run through. Global macro remains very weak....