Commodities / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Comments – “Materials Breakout & Buy Bullion in next 5 to 10 Trading Sessions”
by on May 22, 2013 •The Swiss team have re-grouped and come back fighting. They didn’t get the pull back their models suggested. It has taken a month or so for them to really digest/accept this and re-set. We all learn by the rod here that you can’t get stubborn on these things. We are all paid on price and...
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Comments – “5% to 8% correction into June/July but a change to our cyclical road map”
by on May 14, 2013 •We have for several weeks discussed, on the forum pages as well as editor comments, that the technical report produced by our Swiss colleagues had got their near term calls wrong. That, instead, the US equity markets displayed more technical strength than they had accounted for but this didn’t sit neatly with their cyclical model. ...
Weekly Technical Comments – “SPX Overshooting 1610, Cyclicals Outperforming”
by on May 7, 2013 •Please find the Swiss team’s latest weekly technical market comments below. It was becoming clear last week that the bear case had weakened. US markets have indeed made new record highs and market breadth has improved which the Swiss team are now acknowledging. Issues like the Russell2000 joining, as well as the semi conductors, extensions...
Commodities / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Comments – “Bounce Stronger Than Expected But Distributive”
by on Apr 30, 2013 •Ok, the Swiss team’s latest insightful technical comments below. As a summary they are sticking to their call that this remains distributive. A key plank of their argument is that until we get a rotation into cyclicals and away from defensives the theme remains distribution. This is a classic analysis and is historically correct. Cyclicals...
Macro Economic Update – “Another Spring Another Slow Down”
by on Apr 26, 2013 •I attach the WF economic update below. We have growth with the US GDP coming in at 2.5% today for Q1, below consensus but in a world awash with slow, or negative – Europe, growth a positive reading is something at least. German pmi came in weak again and the UK managed to score a...
Bullion Weekly Technical Comments – “Near term rebound in speculative positioning”
by on Apr 24, 2013 •No report this week from Commerz so i’ve posted up GS’s latest take on the bullion. In summary, they are long and medium term bearish on the asset class. They sight rising interest rates, low inflation and an improving US fiscal picture to cap any short term bounces in the bullion. Near term they are...
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Comments – “Short-Term Bounce Before More Weakness”
by on Apr 23, 2013 •Below the latest Swiss team’s comments on the major market indexes from across the globe. Short term issues remain as were. On the short term, we have a bounce which is an opportunity for adding to hedges. Euro indexes have having been more over sold have enjoyed a higher bounce than the US sectors, thus...
Commodities / Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Tax & Debt / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Comments & More.. “Equity Market Distribution into a Top” & “Bullion Secular Bull Intact”
by on Apr 16, 2013 •Ok, attached below the latest view from the Swiss tech team. Another great report and nothing in the last week has invalidated their view on the major asset markets which ties in to my own views as documented on the forum boards. US index Sp500 false breakout. Rus2000 failure and looking very weak. Sub sector...
Weekly Technical Comments – “SP500 Toppish & Gold Reversal In Place”
by on Apr 10, 2013 •http://www.capitalsynthesis.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/reports/UBSTAWeekly09-04.html
Commodities / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Comments – “Again, Don’t Chase This Rally”
by on Apr 3, 2013 •The Swiss team’s latest weekly tech view below. They are sticking to their call not to chase this rally but above S&P500 1535 it remains bullish but technically very weak. They pick up on many of the same issues we have been seeing and commenting on in the forum, for some time. Continued inter market...
Commodities / Companies / Economics / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Quick End Q1 Comments, Practice, Tech Charts..
by on Mar 29, 2013 •Happy Easter to all. A few world markets are open today but as there is a euro area holiday today its very quiet. I thought I’d use the time to post up a few end of quarter comments and charts as well a few specific trade monitoring screens that I use regularly, in the interests...
Commodities / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / FX / Home / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Comments – “Don’t Chase SP500 – 1538 Pivotal”
by on Mar 26, 2013 •Apologies guys for the delay, i’ve been traveling today. Below we have another outstanding technical run through of the world’s major markets and instruments. I don’t want to repeat the Swiss team’s comments so therefore i won’t cover the same ground but will try and add to their analysis below. We are where we have...