Commodities / Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Property / Technical trading
Info Dump – Bullion Weekly Tech Report, WF Monthly Macro, Inverse Correlation JPY Nik225 at extremes.
by on Mar 15, 2013 •A quick info dump here for all. Here below the latest bullion tech. Having been asleep the bullion’s volatility is creeping up again as are her HUI miners. This makes me wake up again on the asset class. BullionWeeklyTechnicals12032013 Here the below the latest WF monthly macro economic run through. Global macro remains very weak....
Commodities / Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Property / Tax & Debt / Technical trading
2013 Technical Forecast, Cycles, Correlations, Inter Market Analysis & Comment..
by on Jan 8, 2013 •The Swiss team have done themselves proud once again. Words fail me. A superb analysis. Lets see if they can win the European technical team for 2013 as they did in 2012. To the report specifically. There is much to digest here. What I continue to admire about their approach is that it’s probability driven....
Commodities / Economics / Emerging Markets / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Property / Tax & Debt
Seymour’s Equity Research – “Inflationary Deflation” Report
by on Dec 17, 2012 •Seymour Equity have produced an outstanding report here. The attached document cuts to the core of the macro and cyclical issues facing the various asset classes. Its makes extensive use of the Kondratieff long wave theories and explains these for us. This is useful for those new to these theories. (Its worthy of note that Dr...
WF Securities 2013 Fundamental Economic Forecast – “The New Normal”
by on Dec 14, 2012 •Wells provide us the first 2013 fundamental projection report. Many more will follow of course and I’ll try and post up as many of these as I can to see what themes emerge. The Wells report is a US centric report, to my mind. I pick this single chart out from the report. This is...
Commodities / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Property / Technical trading
Weekly Technical Comments – “Buy The Dips on Cyclical Themes”
by on Oct 30, 2012 •Another strong (and bullish) report from the Swiss team. I’ll leave the detail to you. Report below. Regarding my own book, I expected the cyclical stocks to be in the front line of the recent correction but this is not what has occurred. Cyclical themes usually provide a beta to the overall market both up...
Commodities / Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Property / Tax & Debt / Technical trading
Weekly Roundup – “ECB’s ‘Unlimited Action Changes the Risk Reward Dynamics”
by on Sep 7, 2012 •Ive been following SC’s (high net worth private client) wealth management weekly report for a while. To my mind its been accurate and timely in its recommendations and insights. It nicely brings together the key fundamental and technical strands of world asset markets, monetary and fiscal policy all in one weekly report. The ECB’s unlimited...
Market Musings – Inflection Point For Risk On/Risk Off
by on Jun 5, 2012 •Ahead of the Swiss team’s technical briefing some of my own thoughts here.. We are in a very difficult area of the trading chart here. Technically we remain massively oversold but with the bounces being very poorly supported long attempts have been beaten back and you are lucky to score positively on playing the “bounce”. ...
UK – Putting it All Together..
by on Mar 20, 2012 •The UK and US present us with the model for how developed nation’s economic recoveries will play out. Their recoveries are built on the basis of more consumer and government debt funded by increases in taxes and debt monetizations artificially surpressing interest rates to stimulate more consumption and reductions in savings. Wages lag inflation so...
No Comment – Chart of the Week
by on Mar 16, 2012 •Commodities / Companies / Economics / Emerging Markets / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Property
Land of the Rising Sun..
by on Feb 18, 2012 •Japan is complex story. From the eyes of a western investor a surreal world where valuations seem entirely out of step with western metrics. Imagine a world where the yield you recieve for lending your capital to your government (A very indebted government with 200% debt to gdp) is less than 0.95% per annum for...
No Comment – Chart of the Week..
by on Jan 27, 2012 •Commodities / Companies / Economics / Entries/Exists / Fixed Income / Fundamental Indicators / FX / Indexes / Markets / PMs / Property / Technical trading
Weekly Technical View & Macro Comments, ‘Near Term Overbought’..
by on Jan 24, 2012 •The Swiss team have changed their stance a little. The recent strength providing evidence that the pull back, when it comes, will be shallow and not severe. From their technical perspective, they judge, this move will likely therefore run to the end of March or early April and score a higher high across the broad...