Capital: A principal, investment, money, assets, labour, stock, property, a store of value larger or more prominent; it may also suggest preeminence or excellence; capital letter, idea, virtue. Synthesis: A complex whole made up of a number of parts united; the act of combining separate ideas, beliefs, styles; a mixture or combination of ideas, beliefs, styles.
Tax & Debt

Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 Corrective Wave Down” 14th Sept17

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We are still waiting here for clear signals from these markets. US markets have drifted higher but without momentum once again. Nasdaq, Soxx, Transports, Finance sectors all appear fading once again at these levels.  Breadth is not strong here but a low momentum continuation remains the risk. The expected US$ bounce and oversold levels on...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 New Breakout Campaign” – 25th April17

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Risk markets have surged upward and this bull starts yet another strong continuation upwards. Some might use the word parabolic to explain this recent price action. FX remains a little complicated for the moment. Bullion has fallen due to risk on but as risk on implies reflation (tip remains elevated) the gold move technical tactical...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “SP500 2234 Key Support” – 18th Jan17

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Welcome back and to the first weekly technical analysis post of 2017. What a phenomenal run up we have had since early November16 across most risk assets, even including the eurostoxx50 eventually. The negative beta turned out to be Asia over the period in spite of initial promising signs.  The ftse100 carrying the local currency...

Weekly Technical Analysis – SPX 8 to 10% Correction to End Oct – 14th Sept16

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Volatility has indeed jumped and so summer is officially over. The Swiss team have made a significant shift in their forecasts and have called the important medium term top on risk markets as in. In the near term a bounce but unlikely to make much progress beyond prior price highs. They forecast in stead an...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Cyclical Bear Market” 29th June 2016 V2

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What a week it has been. We have seen volatility to the upside and then crashing downward across risk on. The Sp500 broke her 2025 level and her 200 dma. She is bouncing here to currently her 50% retracement level but has scored significant technical damage to lead indexes like the US banks, Transports. Across...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Highs in Risk This Week Setting up Significant Correction” 19th April16 V3

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Back in Dec15 when the bear move started, it was pretty clear that the move was early and needed to be tested before this multi year bull market was truly toast. On the most recent wave of the risk rebound we needed to get to a rally point where the early bears would be throwing...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Basing but Re-test of Lows, Possible” 2nd Feb16

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Markets are moving quickly here so a few technical comments. The bounce has not sustained. US sector wise the prior alphas of tech and bio tech are the unsurprisingly the alphas now to the down side. Bio tech particularly has made new lows again and is now down 40% from her high point. Europe has...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “SPX Tactical Low Forming” 26th Jan16

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The probable scenario of a multi week rebound appears to be play here and the 2008 melt down scenario thankfully avoided. I’m traveling unfortunately so i leave the analysis to the reports. Ill add comment in a few days but in hindsight my own book’s timing is so far so good on both sides of...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Sp500 Rebound Into End Sept” 2nd Sept15

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The highlights for me from last week’s bear attach was the short sharp explosion in volatility together with a short term liquidity drain from the market. The most notable other issue was the euro carry trade de-lever which spiked up the euro even as markets fell. Commodities generally fell as US$ also fell. To me...

Weekly Technical Analysis – “Minor Top, Europe Buy The Dips” 21st April15 V2

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Its time for another technical run through of the major asset markets. We have continued to chop up directionally across all asset classes here from equities to fx. We are looking for direction which is neatly reflected in the latest cftc report. Some profit taking and paring of positions but no trend changes, as yet....

“The New Great Game” Thunder Road Dec2013

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I very pleased to bring you the latest, hugely insightful, multi market macro report, namely, the Thunder Road Report. During this festive holiday period its a perfect time for some reflection on the macro and how this feed into our macro and micro allocations for the coming year. A very timely release therefore. Thunder Road’s...

Macro Outlook “The Pain in Spain” – IMF, ML, CapSyn – Dec13

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Spain continues her economic struggle with another negative year for growth in 2013. The clear problem for Spain continues to be a lack of credit for the private sector, households and corporates alike. Year on year, since the onset of the 2008 global financial crisis loans to the private sector have fallen sharply.  The Spanish...
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